Concerning theories that claim Israel killed Hariri to destroy Syria and assert its hegemony on the region
I posted this opinion a few weeks ago in lebaneseblogger.blogspot.com; but unfortunately, I feel that it is now necessary to republish it in this blog.... For those of you who have already read it, please accept my sincere apologies....
These grand conspiracy theories sound great on paper. But then, when I look at what happened on the ground, I get a reality-check. How the hell are Mossad agents supposed to kill Hariri in the middle of $^#^&$ downtown Beirut without anyone knowing??? Taking into consideration the size and complexity of the operation - for God's sake it wasn't a sniper shooting - the likelihood that someone carried it out without getting the attention of the security services is virtually null.
Seriously!!! How in God's name can someone get 500-1000 kgs of TNT in a country as small as Lebanon without drawing attention to himself? Did Israeli commandos bring the explosives with them by boat? If so, then how big would the boat have been? Or how many times would they have had to unload their cargo on our shores before accumulating the needed amount of TNT? Need I remind everyone that the scene of the crime was between the largest Lebanese Navy base(in the Port of Beirut), and the Military Officer's Club in the Manara?
As for this whole hegemony thing... it is also kind of a shaky argument. Egypt and Saudi Arabia are definitely not militarily up to par with Israel, but they do have their weight, and can influence events in the region. Even Jordan was able to get weapons from the United States that Israel thought were too threatening, and tried really hard to prevent from happening. So these theorists do two things: they play on an inert fear of Israel, and completely ignore facts on the ground to make what would seem to be sound arguments.
In conclusion, I'll say the following:
1. The Syrians have no problem killing Lebanese (or anybody) who they perceive as a threat to their grip on power.
2. There is a huge difference between American hegemony (a reality that we are dealing with today) and Israeli hegemony (nonsense, considering Egypt, Saudi Arabia and even Turkey - all of which are allies of the USA).
3. Read the following article from Dier Speigel:
http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,343242,00.html
These grand conspiracy theories sound great on paper. But then, when I look at what happened on the ground, I get a reality-check. How the hell are Mossad agents supposed to kill Hariri in the middle of $^#^&$ downtown Beirut without anyone knowing??? Taking into consideration the size and complexity of the operation - for God's sake it wasn't a sniper shooting - the likelihood that someone carried it out without getting the attention of the security services is virtually null.
Seriously!!! How in God's name can someone get 500-1000 kgs of TNT in a country as small as Lebanon without drawing attention to himself? Did Israeli commandos bring the explosives with them by boat? If so, then how big would the boat have been? Or how many times would they have had to unload their cargo on our shores before accumulating the needed amount of TNT? Need I remind everyone that the scene of the crime was between the largest Lebanese Navy base(in the Port of Beirut), and the Military Officer's Club in the Manara?
As for this whole hegemony thing... it is also kind of a shaky argument. Egypt and Saudi Arabia are definitely not militarily up to par with Israel, but they do have their weight, and can influence events in the region. Even Jordan was able to get weapons from the United States that Israel thought were too threatening, and tried really hard to prevent from happening. So these theorists do two things: they play on an inert fear of Israel, and completely ignore facts on the ground to make what would seem to be sound arguments.
In conclusion, I'll say the following:
1. The Syrians have no problem killing Lebanese (or anybody) who they perceive as a threat to their grip on power.
2. There is a huge difference between American hegemony (a reality that we are dealing with today) and Israeli hegemony (nonsense, considering Egypt, Saudi Arabia and even Turkey - all of which are allies of the USA).
3. Read the following article from Dier Speigel:
http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,343242,00.html
posted by Raja at 7:48 PM
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